Kshitij Consultancy Services
Kshitij Consultancy Services
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Morning Briefing The US Treasury and the German yields are moving higher in line with our expectation, They both have room to rise further from here. The US jobs data (NFP and Unemployment rate) release today will need a close watch. The 10Yr GoI has come down. The near-term dip that was anticipated is happening first. The broader uptrend can resume after this.
GMT 13:30 IST 19:00 US NFP
GMT 13:30 IST 19:00 US Unemployment Rate

US Non-Farm Payroll

US NFP - Month on Month Changes ('000)  
  Expectation  
Date For Market Kshitij Prev Release Rev
02-Jan-26 Dec-25 57 -8 41 50 -17
11-Feb-26 Jan-26 70 -8 -17 130 126
06-Mar-26 Feb-26 58 3 126 -92 -
03-Apr-26 Mar-26 - - -92 - -
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February '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb '26 Monthly Forecast
Our February '26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
February'26 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb'26 EURUSD Report
Euro unexpectedly reached 1.2083 in Jan-26 on Dollar sell-off but recovered quickly back to lower levels. Will it again attempt to rise targeting 1.24? Or will it remain below 1.20/21 now and see an eventual decline to 1.10/08? ...Read More
January'26 USDJPY Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Jan'26 USDJPY Report
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to ... Read More
February'26 GOI Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Feb'26 GOI Report
The 10Yr GOI (6.6472%) had risen to a high of 6.78% on 01-Feb. It has dipped a bit from there but has good Support at ... Read More
March'26 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar'26 Crude Oil Report
The Net Long short position for WTI has started to move up. Currently above 2, will it rise sharply towards 4-6 and higher or fall back towards 1.5 or lower? The US-Iran conflict has lead to a sharp rally in crude prices. Will it dominate prices in the coming months? ... Read More
Mar '26 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Mar '26 US Treasury Report
In our last report (28-Jan-26, UST10Yr 4.23%) we had established the linkage between higher Crude and higher Inflation leading onto higher Yields and had said Yields were likely to move up along with .... Read More
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