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Risk:
Foreign Exchange Risk Management Guidelines

 

Market Forecasts

After determining its Exposures, the company has to form an idea of where the market is headed.
Treasury Risk Management

The Colour of Money - Ongoing issues in Risk Management

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The company will focus on forecasts for the next 6 months, as forecasts for periods beyond 6 months can be unreliable.

The focus of the Apex Management is to be aware of

  • the Direction or the Big Trend in rates.
  • the underlying assumptions behind the forecasts
  • the Probability that can be assigned to the forecast coming true
  • the possible extent of the move

The Risk Appraisal exercise and Benchmarking decisions will be based on such forecasts.

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