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Research:
EUR-USD Amplitudes

USD-CHF      USD-JPY                      26th April, 2002

The study below tabulates the Probabilities of Euro-US Dollar
moving X number of Pips over 3 different time frames. The study
can help Traders work ou the Time-frame over which they would
like to trade
EUR-USD Amplitude Probability Distrn.
Ampl. in Pips Daily 3-Day Weekly
0-50 7.85% 0.00% 0.00%
50-100 50.94% 7.09% 2.25%
100-150 28.29% 32.62% 15.77%
150-200 9.45% 28.37% 24.79%
200-250 2.39% 17.02% 23.66%
250-300 0.74% 9.57% 17.75%
300-350 0.11% 2.84% 6.48%
350-400 0.06% 1.77% 3.94%
400-450 0.11% 0.35% 2.82%
450-500 0.06% 0.00% 1.13%
500-550 0.06% 0.35% 0.56%
550-600 0.00% 0.00% 0.28%
600-650 0.00% 0.00% 0.28%
Avg Amplitude 101 180 228
Daily 79.23% chance of 100-150 pip move
3 Days 78.01% chance of 100-250 pip move
5 Day/ Week 81.97% chance of 100-300 pip move
A 3 day time frame might be best for trading USDJPY
Occasionally, some very large moves can take place.
Notes:
Amplitude is measured as the difference between the
High and Low during a given time period (1-3-5 days)
The above study has been conducted on 3-year data.
For similar studies on other currencies please click
on the links below:
USD-JPY
USD-CHF
 
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