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Research:
USD-CHF Amplitudes

EUR-USD      USD-JPY                      26th April, 2002

The study below tabulates the Probabilities of Dollar-Swiss Franc
moving X number of points over 3 different time frames. The study
can help Traders work ou the Time-frame over which they would
like to trade
USD-CHF Amplitude Probability Distrn.
Amplitude Daily 3-Day Weekly
0-75 12.27% 0.00% 0.00%
75-150 47.30% 2.12% 4.27%
150-225 26.93% 24.38% 14.63%
225-300 9.45% 31.80% 25.91%
300-375 2.76% 18.37% 19.51%
375-450 0.49% 13.07% 13.41%
450-525 0.55% 4.95% 9.76%
525-600 0.18% 2.47% 5.49%
600-675 0.06% 2.12% 2.74%
675-750 0.00% 0.35% 2.74%
750-825 0.00% 0.35% 0.61%
825-900 0.00% 0.00% 0.61%
Avg Amp 149 304 380
Daily 74.23% chance of 75-225 point move  
3 Days 74.56% chance of 150-375 point move  
5 Day/ Week 45.43% chance of 225-375 point move  
A 1-3 day time frame might be best for trading USDCHF
Notes:
Amplitude is measured as the difference between the
High and Low during a given time period (1-3-5 days)
The above study has been conducted on 3-year data.
For similar studies on other currencies please click
on the links below:
EUR-USD
USD-JPY
 
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